Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 88.857274 99.069792 109.446218 120.747722 132.680107 144.876030 158.255388
2025-10-12 74.153519 89.092598 104.872626 122.659960 142.035612 162.395626 185.303304
2025-10-19 63.732278 81.188174 100.180352 122.128289 146.559926 172.712756 202.622921
2025-10-26 55.544771 74.726595 96.166446 121.488905 150.198814 181.403184 217.561950
2025-11-02 49.659362 70.236805 93.799357 122.159370 154.813583 190.752336 232.839897
2025-11-09 43.831160 65.268372 90.420645 121.256450 157.286004 197.404379 244.843204
2025-11-16 39.370491 61.567512 88.209026 121.417886 160.725089 204.936323 257.647171
2025-11-23 34.839528 57.405789 85.141078 120.301107 162.454731 210.335293 267.874479
2025-11-30 32.063313 55.274222 84.381700 121.797333 167.121680 219.006826 281.746877
2025-12-07 29.718031 53.522624 83.951238 123.571978 172.021801 227.874906 295.787189
2025-12-14 26.402729 50.197023 81.326632 122.481128 173.358997 232.483055 304.823384
2025-12-21 22.994400 46.467706 77.972411 120.304706 173.239920 235.265017 311.640107
2025-12-28 22.267079 46.589172 79.702566 124.591978 181.069651 247.535850 329.654083
2026-01-04 20.953245 45.741643 80.074620 127.105936 186.702289 257.194318 344.621850
2026-01-11 18.675941 43.246159 78.081796 126.467905 188.355628 262.038170 353.874515
2026-01-18 16.609063 40.899402 76.167790 125.831832 189.932936 266.731701 362.902787
2026-01-25 15.126810 39.367086 75.306491 126.512995 193.111511 273.320897 374.153564
2026-02-01 13.315185 37.115254 73.307346 125.592471 194.198867 277.324148 382.285590
2026-02-08 11.957451 35.515000 72.164959 125.757064 196.617141 282.913655 392.287906
2026-02-15 10.393501 33.377044 70.123142 124.617891 197.302922 286.336128 399.654273
2026-02-22 9.594227 32.584822 70.049303 126.144114 201.402148 293.942302 412.051099
2026-03-01 8.918046 31.964229 70.198765 127.954134 205.854060 301.976718 424.964646
2026-03-08 7.681008 30.073079 68.300067 126.841567 206.449439 305.200458 432.029074